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Risk level
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↗ Transmission thesis
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Country Stress Index
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Market impact
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| Metric | Value | Δ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
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Sources: Yahoo Finance · Stooq · FRED
Scenario engine
Active chain
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Scenario probabilities
Rule-based · calibrated May 2026
What-if controls
⟳ fetching live Brent…
⚠ BOJ Triple Trap active
Debt amplifier: ×1.000
Debt amplifier: ×1.000
Transmission chain
⇆ Macro
Pathway
Pathway
Asset transmission
| Asset | Price | Δ 1d | Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
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Yahoo Finance · 15-min delayed
IMF calibration
| Country | Model | Live | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
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IMF WEO · updated Apr/Oct
Data & model status
| Source | Type | Status | Fresh |
|---|---|---|---|
| ● Yahoo/Stooq | FX · Equity | ● Live | <5m |
| IMF WEO | Macro | ● Live | 24h cache |
| FRED API | Rates | ● Live | 24h cache |
| Brent chain | Oil price | ● Live | <1m |
| OSINT Globe | Geo signals | ⊡ Pending | 60s |
Model versionv2.0
CalibrationMay 2026
Backtest (IO)4/17 cases
UncertaintyElevated